US Dollar, Euro, British Pound, Gold, Crude Oil, Stocks


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The US Dollar broadly outperformed against its major counterparts in the third quarter of 2023. Relatively speaking, it performed the best against the British Pound, Japanese Yen and Australian Dollar. Meanwhile, the Chinese Yuan fared better.

A key theme throughout the third quarter was the evolving landscape of long-term Federal Reserve monetary policy expectations. At most, the central bank may hike rates one more time this year. But, that is not where the focus has been.

Instead, financial markets have been increasingly pricing in a higher terminal rate. In other words, the tone set by Chair Jerome Powell and company has been alluding to a scenario where interest rates stay higher for longer.

That is why we have seen a more aggressive rise in the 10-year Treasury yields as opposed to the 2-year rate. In response, the US Dollar pushed higher. This also pressured lower gold prices. Crude oil prices continued climbing, perhaps a reflection of more robust growth expectations.

Sentiment started to give way towards the end of Q3. The Dow Jones, S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite all finished in the red. But, pronounced gains during the first 2 quarters mean equities are still on track to finish in the green this year. Could this change in Q4?

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How Markets Performed – Q3 2023

Forecasts:

British Pound Q4 Technical Forecast: GBP/USD, EUR/GBP, GBP/JPY

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With the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) on hold since June and China’s economic woes continuing, the Australian dollar exhibits few bullish drivers – which opens up the possibility for narrow range trading at suppressed levels.

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Euro Q4 Fundamental Forecast: EUR/USD in Peril on Growing Economic Risks

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Japanese Yen Q4 Fundamental Forecast: Bearish Kick-off, Year-End Revival Chance

This article is dedicated to examining the yen’s fundamental outlook. It offers an exhaustive analysis of the Japanese currency, discussing major risk factors that could dictate the trend in the fourth quarter.

Equities Q4 Fundamental Outlook: Fed Rate Outlook to Weigh on Stocks

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US Dollar Technical Forecast: DXY Sets the Stage for Further Resilience in Q4?

The US Dollar outperformed in the third quarter consistently, obtaining a minimum of 9 weeks of consecutive gains. How is the technical landscape shaping up for the fourth quarter?

— Article Body Written by Daniel Dubrovsky, Contributing Senior Strategist for DailyFX.com

— Individual Articles Composed by DailyFX Team Members



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